FORMLAB Race Report — Doncaster 18:45

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Doncaster · 18:45

Class 3 · 7.03f · Good to Firm

GENERATED 2026-07-18 · 9 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

YORKSHIRE (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.35% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 4 at halfway, 0.25s off the lead. The measured order tops YORKSHIRE (IRE) on 92.3, 0.3pts clear of AKKADIAN THUNDER. YORKSHIRE (IRE): the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late. The shape danger is FIRST TIME (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 9

YORKSHIRE (IRE)

OR 91 · Kevin Stott / Edward Bethell

MARKET drifting 3.5 → 5.3

92.3 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−4lb below his last winning mark (91 today vs 95)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (92.3)

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 4

AKKADIAN THUNDER

OR 89 · David Nolan / David O'Meara

MARKET backed 5.3 → 4.4

92 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (92)Historically underestimated by the market

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 6

TALIS EVOLVERE (IRE)

OR 84 · Seamus Cronin / Richard Hannon

MARKET backed 14 → 8

91.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 3 todayRated #3 in this field (91.0)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1AKKADIAN THUNDERnet +10figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here − yard cold

2YORKSHIRE (IRE)net +7figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot

3FIRST TIME (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, proven on the going, yard positive in today’s setup

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

Worth A Second Look

These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.

CHRISTIAN DAVID (IRE) FIGURE #7

drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9

123456789

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 9.0 of 9, field average 5.0).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: YORKSHIRE (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · AKKADIAN THUNDER is 0/6 on softer ground · TALIS EVOLVERE (IRE) is 0/4 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

YORKSHIRE (IRE) PROMINENT 50.5% 98.8 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late

KODI LION (IRE) MID 51.2% 98.1 held up without the late gear (8th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

AKKADIAN THUNDER MID 50.2% 98.3 held up without the late gear (7th of 9 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

CHRISTIAN DAVID (IRE) HELD-UP 50.4% 100.2 one-paced late — 4th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

PERFECT PART (IRE) MID 49.3% 100.6 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

TALIS EVOLVERE (IRE) MID 49.0% 102.9 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

EGOLI MID 51.0% 98.0 held up without the late gear (9th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

DAYDREAMA HELD-UP 50.4% 98.8 one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

FIRST TIME (IRE) MID 50.1% 102.9 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

YORKSHIRE (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.18s off the field’s best

YORKSHIRE (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 YORKSHIRE (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 9 · OR 91 · Kevin Stott / Edward Bethell

MARKET drifting 3.5 → 5.3

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

92.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

92.3 · ranked #1 here · career best 101

Official mark (OR)

91 · last won off 95

Record at today's distance

3 wins from 16 tries · below market expectation (0.95)

Days since last run

21

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 98.78% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

9thClass 2 · 7.1f · rated 9011thClass 2 · 7.0f · rated 929thClass 2 · 7.0f · rated 956thClass 2 · 7.0f · rated 934thClass 2 · 7.0f · rated 101

Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Edward Bethell · 855 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.1 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)39/25315.4%0.959/3823.7%1.4

In fields of 8-1152/31316.6%0.9723/11320.4%1.37

Too few runners to read reliably

Below their last winning mark (small sample)1/911.1%0.850/20.0%0.0

At Doncaster (small sample)5/3613.9%1.162/922.2%0.93

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 103 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields9th of 9

-0.27 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 9

+0.18s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 9

98.8%

One-paced late

Stride length1st of 9

7.56 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

27 Jun 26Newcastle7fSlow9thFast early40.5 -0.0996.8—

9 May 26Ascot7fGood11thTrue40.1 -0.0995.8+0.19

26 Jul 25Ascot7fGd/Frm9thFast early39.0 -0.7696.7+0.20

19 Jun 25Ascot7fFirm6thTrue40.4 -0.3299.4+0.12

26 Apr 25Haydock Park6fGd/Frm4thTrue40.0 -0.37101.3+0.21

9 Apr 25Kempton Park7fStd1stTrue39.6 -0.01102.7+0.20

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.44par2f+0.36par3f+0.27fast4f+0.25fast5f+0.23par6f+0.53very slow7f+0.84very slow

Timed runs 2025-04-09 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

4lb below his last winning mark (91 today vs 95)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (92.3)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“chased leaders, ridden under 3f out, weakened over 1f out”

#2 AKKADIAN THUNDER MID FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 4 · OR 89 · David Nolan / David O'Meara

MARKET backed 5.3 → 4.4

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−

92 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

92 · ranked #2 here · career best 103

Official mark (OR)

89 · last won off 89

Record at today's distance

4 wins from 26 tries · beats market expectation (1.15)

Days since last run

14

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s)
Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.32% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 2 · 7.0f · rated 825thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 983rdClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 966thClass 3 · 6.0f · rated 382ndClass 3 · 6.0f · rated 98

Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

David O'Meara · 2009 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)90/65213.8%1.043/575.3%0.42

Back at their last winning mark2/229.1%1.061/214.8%0.44

In Class 1-3 company ✦41/5167.9%0.917/1424.9%0.55

Over 7-8f trips90/72812.4%1.0214/1977.1%0.73

In fields of 8-1193/72312.9%1.0518/1879.6%0.83

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 105 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 9

+0.19 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 41.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph7th of 9

+0.32s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed7th of 9

98.3%

One-paced late

Stride length8th of 9

7.21 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Newmarket7fGd/Frm6th—42.1 -0.02103.5+0.52—

13 Jun 26York7fGood5thTrue40.5 +0.4498.8+0.21

6 Jun 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm3rdTrue41.3 +0.2299.5+0.29

2 May 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm6thFast early42.0 +0.3292.7—

29 Mar 26Doncaster6fGd/Sft2ndTrue39.6 +0.41100.9+0.34

8 Nov 25Doncaster6fHeavy16thTrue37.9 -0.2194.5+0.24

Timed runs 2025-11-08 to 2026-07-04. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (92)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 20 runsLost roughly 2.3 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 8 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“dwelt, off pace, hung left under 3f out, kept on”

#3 TALIS EVOLVERE (IRE) MID

DRAW 6 · OR 84 · Seamus Cronin / Richard Hannon

MARKET backed 14 → 8

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−

91.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

91.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 106

Official mark (OR)

84 · last won off 85

Record at today's distance

3 wins from 34 tries · below market expectation (0.73)

Days since last run

28

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 102.91% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

7thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 912ndClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 918thClass 3 · 8.1f · rated 8011thClass 2 · 8.0f · rated 858thClass 3 · 8.0f · rated 84

Career sheet · last 18 months · 23 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Below their last winning mark3/358.6%0.897/3023.3%1.94

Over 7-8f trips65/6799.6%0.8835/21416.4%1.39

At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28

Too few runners to read reliably

At Doncaster (small sample)4/449.1%0.795/1926.3%1.82

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 106 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 9

+0.04 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 9

+0.10s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 9

102.9%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length5th of 9

7.39 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

20 Jun 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm7th—40.5 -0.05101.3+0.07

12 Jun 26Goodwood8fSoft2ndTrue37.4 +0.05102.4+0.00

25 May 26Windsor8fGd/Frm8thTrue41.2 +0.48105.7+0.19

16 May 26Newbury8fGood11thTrue39.1 -0.27100.1+0.00

3 Apr 26Lingfield8fStd8thTrue41.2 -0.10105.2+0.29

5 Mar 26Newcastle7fStd2ndTrue40.0 +0.12102.8+0.06

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.50 2f+0.43 3f+0.39 4f+0.42 5f+0.38 6f+0.31 7f+0.32

Timed runs 2026-03-05 to 2026-06-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 3 todayRated #3 in this field (91.0)Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“never far away, ridden over 1f out, hampered briefly well inside final 1f, not quicken”

#4 FIRST TIME (IRE) MID

DRAW 1 · OR 83 · Barry McHugh / Richard & Peter Fahey

MARKET drifting 7 → 12

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−

88.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

88.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 89

Official mark (OR)

83 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

1 win from 8 tries · below market expectation (0.9)

Days since last run

21

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield-closer

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 102.92% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 886thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 8911thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 672ndClass 4 · 7.1f · rated 851stClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 82

Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard & Peter Fahey · 377 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of 8-11—23/17713.0%1.26

At this time of year (Q3)—6/5910.2%1.2

At Doncaster—3/348.8%1.19

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 89 is below the ~92 the race demands

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields7th of 9

-0.06 mph

About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 9

+0.07s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 9

102.9%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length7th of 9

7.31 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

27 Jun 26Chester7fGood3rdTrue39.9 -0.27100.5—

13 Jun 26York6fGood6thTrue41.8 -0.0998.4+0.16

13 May 26York7fGd/Sft11thTrue38.1 -0.3296.6+0.26

2 Oct 25Newcastle7fSlow2ndSlow early42.4 +0.53121.9-0.02

8 Aug 25Newmarket6fGd/Frm1stTrue41.3 +0.09101.1-0.06

15 Jun 25Salisbury6fGd/Frm2ndTrue39.9 -0.2999.0+0.02

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.29slow2f+0.48par3f+0.56fast4f+0.41par5f+0.54slow6f+0.72slow7f+0.44par

Timed runs 2025-06-15 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayStable in form this week — 4 wins from 21 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“off pace, shaken up over 2f out, headway before final 1f, kept on”

#5 DAYDREAMA HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 8 · OR 86 · Duran Fentiman / Tim Easterby

MARKET drifting 19 → 42

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−

86.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

86.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 94

Official mark (OR)

86 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 12 tries · beats market expectation (1.83)

Days since last run

21

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 98.75% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

7thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 8613thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 859thClass 2 · 7.8f · rated 742ndClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 947thClass 3 · 6.0f · rated 61

Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Tim Easterby · 2889 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange

Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 1-3 company ✦15/3754.0%0.637/1345.2%0.71

Too few runners to read reliably

At Doncaster (small sample)6/758.0%1.031/195.3%0.87

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 95 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 9

+0.11 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph9th of 9

+0.37s

Slow away in 3 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed6th of 9

98.8%

One-paced late

Stride length6th of 9

7.38 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

27 Jun 26Chester7fGood7thTrue39.8 -0.3999.3—

13 Jun 26York7fGood13thTrue40.4 +0.3099.1+0.58

30 May 26Carlisle7fGd/Frm9thTrue38.0 +0.28100.0+0.00

13 May 26York7fGd/Sft2ndTrue38.5 +0.06101.5+0.42

21 Apr 26Pontefract6fGood7thTrue40.1 +0.0393.7+0.68

10 Oct 25York7fGood3rdTrue39.5 +0.3999.0+0.16

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.02par2f+0.35par3f+0.40fast4f+0.31par5f+0.46slow6f+0.58slow7f+0.73slow

Timed runs 2025-10-10 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayProven over the trip (12 tries, beats market expectation at 1.83)Jockey goes well at this track (1.33x market expectation)Lost roughly 2.6 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“held up, ridden over 2f out, one paced”

#6 EGOLI MID

DRAW 5 · OR 87 · Rhys Clutterbuck / Ralph Beckett

MARKET drifting 17 → 21

Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−

84.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

84.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 93

Official mark (OR)

87 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (1.51)

Days since last run

18

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s)
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 97.96% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 3 · 6.0f · rated 849thClass 3 · 6.1f · rated 648thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 874thClass 1 · 6.0f · rated 935thClass 1 · 6.0f · rated 79

Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Ralph Beckett · 1375 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)90/46719.3%0.9815/5328.3%1.4

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 1-3 company ✦71/51413.8%0.9523/17613.1%0.83

Too few runners to read reliably

At Doncaster (small sample)7/5113.7%0.843/1225.0%0.94

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 96 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields8th of 9

-0.23 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 40.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 9

+0.09s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed9th of 9

98.0%

One-paced late

Stride length3rd of 9

7.40 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

30 Jun 26Salisbury6fGood6thTrue39.5 -0.5296.3+0.00

1 Jun 26Windsor6fGd/Frm9thTrue42.5 -0.2697.0+0.14

18 Oct 25Ascot6fGd/Frm8thTrue40.0 -0.1997.2+0.02

6 Sep 25Kempton Park6fStd4thTrue40.1 -0.07104.0+0.28

22 Aug 25York6fGd/Frm5thTrue41.6 -0.0497.2+0.03

31 Jul 25Goodwood6fGood6thTrue41.7 -0.3196.0+0.06

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.24fast2f+0.35par3f+0.39par4f+0.35slow5f+0.62very slow6f+0.78very slow

Timed runs 2025-07-31 to 2026-06-30. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayProven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 1.51)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“off pace, ridden over 2f out, no impression”

#7 CHRISTIAN DAVID (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 2 · OR 89 · Kieran O'Neill / Richard Hannon

MARKET backed 10.5 → 6.2

Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−

83 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

83 · ranked #7 here · career best 97

Official mark (OR)

89 · last won off 90

Record at today's distance

3 wins from 14 tries · beats market expectation (2.45)

Days since last run

23

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.6s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 100.25% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 2 · 8.0f · rated 774thClass 3 · 7.6f · rated 783rdClass 2 · 8.0f · rated 949thClass 2 · 8.0f · rated 9210thClass 2 · 8.6f · rated 76

Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Below their last winning mark3/358.6%0.897/3023.3%1.94

Over 7-8f trips65/6799.6%0.8835/21416.4%1.39

At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28

Too few runners to read reliably

At Doncaster (small sample)4/449.1%0.795/1926.3%1.82

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 100 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 9

+0.12 mph

About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph8th of 9

+0.32s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 9

100.2%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length2nd of 9

7.45 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

25 Jun 26Newcastle8fSlow5thTrue40.0 +0.2896.0—

9 May 26Lingfield7fGd/Frm4thTrue42.6 +0.1895.0+0.22

14 Apr 26Newmarket8fGood3rdTrue38.9 +0.10100.3+0.63

28 Mar 26Doncaster8fGd/Sft9thTrue38.7 -0.39101.9+0.20

7 Mar 26Wolverhampton8fStd10thTrue39.4 +0.23102.0+0.23

3 Dec 25Lingfield7fStd1stTrue41.3 +0.30106.4+0.32

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.34par2f+0.45par3f+0.50par4f+0.51par5f+0.48par6f+0.62slow7f+1.00very slow1m+1.64very slow

Timed runs 2025-12-03 to 2026-06-25. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (14 tries, beats market expectation at 2.45)Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“held up, pushed along 3f out, plugged on, never on terms”

#8 KODI LION (IRE) MID

DRAW 7 · OR 90 · Alistair Rawlinson / Michael Appleby

MARKET 12.5

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−

82.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

82.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 97

Official mark (OR)

90 · last won off 87

Record at today's distance

3 wins from 17 tries · below market expectation (0.89)

Days since last run

267

Sectional clock

Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.06% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 8213thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 809thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 732ndClass 3 · 7.2f · rated 975thClass 2 · 7.0f · rated 94

Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Michael Appleby · 1544 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange

Signature angle: in fields of 8-11

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of 8-11 ✦77/68911.2%0.999/1565.8%0.5

At this time of year (Q3)45/32813.7%1.223/358.6%0.76

In Class 1-3 company ✦26/2918.9%0.985/776.5%0.85

Too few runners to read reliably

Coming back after 180 days+ (small sample)3/378.1%0.843/1225.0%2.23

At Doncaster (small sample)4/419.8%1.230/160.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 97 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 9

+0.00 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 9

+0.10s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed8th of 9

98.1%

One-paced late

Stride length4th of 9

7.39 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

24 Oct 25Newbury7fHeavy5thTrue38.8 +0.0494.9+0.33

20 Sep 25Ayr6fSoft13thTrue41.2 -0.2593.9+0.05

30 Aug 25Sandown Park7fSoft9thFast early38.1 +0.2891.7-0.01

9 Aug 25Haydock Park7fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.0 +0.00105.2+0.00

26 Jul 25Ascot7fGd/Frm5thFast early40.0 +0.1598.1+0.24

25 Jun 25Salisbury6fGd/Frm4thSlow early40.0 -0.22104.5+0.00

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.84par2f+0.62very fast3f+0.63par4f+0.82slow5f+0.43par6f+0.30slow7f+1.04very slow

Timed runs 2025-06-25 to 2025-10-24 · last timed run 267 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

3lb above his last winning mark (90 today vs 87)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayStable cold this week — 0 wins from 11 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionReturns from 267 days offHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“steadied start, held up, headway when switched 2f out, no extra entering final 1f”

#9 PERFECT PART (IRE) MID

DRAW 3 · OR 85 · Ben Robinson / Brian Ellison

MARKET drifting 9 → 14.5

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−

75.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

75.7 · ranked #9 here · career best 97

Official mark (OR)

85 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 14 tries

Days since last run

31

Sectional clock

Last time: 3.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 100.61% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

22ndClass 2 · 8.0f · rated 422ndClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 944thClass 3 · 7.0f · rated 916thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 874thClass 2 · 8.0f · rated 91

Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Brian Ellison · 761 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange

Signature angle: off marks of 60 or below

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Coming back after 15 to 45 days29/26411.0%1.084/864.7%0.55

On turf36/33810.7%1.135/1074.7%0.6

Over 7-8f trips15/1649.1%1.125/766.6%0.76

In fields of 8-1126/26110.0%1.15/855.9%0.83

Too few runners to read reliably

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)27/23611.4%1.232/1118.2%1.95

At Doncaster (small sample)5/3116.1%2.671/128.3%1.42

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 97 at/around today's trip, clears the ~92 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 9

+0.03 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 9

+0.29s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 9

100.6%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length9th of 9

6.90 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

17 Jun 26Ascot8fGd/Frm22ndTrue38.2 -0.8193.3+0.16

31 May 26Thirsk7fGood2ndTrue40.0 +0.32106.0+0.00

16 May 26Thirsk7fGood4thTrue39.6 +0.25102.7+0.08

12 Apr 26Musselburgh8fGood6thTrue39.1 +0.16101.7+0.40

28 Mar 26Doncaster8fGd/Sft4thTrue38.0 +0.32104.5+0.09

11 Oct 25Newmarket6fGd/Frm13thTrue41.4 -0.0695.4+1.01

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.29very fast2f+0.21par3f+0.19slow4f+0.51slow5f+0.51slow6f+0.81very slow7f+1.55very slow1m+3.87very slow

Timed runs 2025-10-11 to 2026-06-17. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayJockey goes well at this track (1.79x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“in touch, ridden under 3f out, weakened 2f out”