THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
AL ZANATI is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.64% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 4 at halfway, 0.45s off the lead. The measured order tops PERSICA (IRE) on 114.3, 1.3pts clear of OCEANS FOUR. PERSICA (IRE): a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is MIDAK (FR) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
PERSICA (IRE)
OR · Sean Levey / Richard Hannon
MARKET backed 2.6 → 2.26
114.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayThe top rating in this field (114.3)Proven over the trip (11 tries, beats market expectation at 1.93)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
OCEANS FOUR
OR · Tom Marquand / Brian Meehan
MARKET 7.2
113.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Rated #2 in this field (113.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the market
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
ARABIAN LIGHT
OR · Kieran Shoemark / Charlie Appleby
MARKET backed 13 → 9
109.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #4 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1PERSICA (IRE)net +10figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band
2OCEANS FOURnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup
3MIDAK (FR)net +5race-fit (ran <=45d), backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, FormLab watch flag
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–6
123456
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: PERSICA (IRE) is 1/1 on softer ground · OCEANS FOUR is 0/2 on softer ground · ARABIAN LIGHT is 1/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
ARABIAN LIGHTMID49.2%102.6solid late gains (4th of 5 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
MIDAK (FR)MID48.6%107.4the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
PERSICA (IRE)MID49.5%105.4a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
AL ZANATIPROMINENT49.4%102.5the only measured early speed in the race, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late
OCEANS FOURMID48.9%103.4a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
AL ZANATIPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.07s off the field’s best
AL ZANATI is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1PERSICA (IRE)MID
DRAW 1 · OR · Sean Levey / Richard Hannon
MARKET backed 2.6 → 2.26
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
114.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
114.3 · ranked #1 here · career best 118
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 100
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 11 tries · beats market expectation (1.93)
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 105.41% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5712.3%1.51
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 9-10f trips31/16319.0%1.546/708.6%0.75
In fields of <=7 ✦61/37516.3%0.9520/12815.6%0.82
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 118 at/around today's trip, clears the ~113.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 5
+0.33 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 5
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 5
105.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 5
7.35 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-06-07 to 2026-07-03. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayThe top rating in this field (114.3)Proven over the trip (11 tries, beats market expectation at 1.93)Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“steadied start, dropped out, no room over 2f out, headway when weaved through over 1f out, ran on, never nearer”
#2OCEANS FOURMID
DRAW 3 · OR · Tom Marquand / Brian Meehan
MARKET 7.2
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
113.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
113.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 113
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
30
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 103.39% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Brian Meehan · 322 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury2/345.9%0.921/156.7%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)14/11612.1%0.991/137.7%0.54
On turf22/20810.6%0.973/644.7%0.65
In fields of <=710/6315.9%0.872/1612.5%0.79
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 113 at/around today's trip, clears the ~113.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 5
-0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 5
+0.34s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 5
103.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 5
7.15 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-07-11 to 2026-06-18. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 1 todayRated #2 in this field (113.0)Improving fast — last run rated 113, 13pts above his recent average of 99.3Only 2 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“waited with, progress wide from 2f out, stayed on”
#3ARABIAN LIGHTMID
DRAW 6 · OR · Kieran Shoemark / Charlie Appleby
MARKET backed 13 → 9
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
109.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
109.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 113
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
32
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.64% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Appleby · 699 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days77/20537.6%1.1610/5617.9%0.75
Over 9-10f trips27/9927.3%1.16/3020.0%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)9/2733.3%1.281/520.0%0.85
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 113 at/around today's trip, clears the ~113.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 5
-0.18 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 5
+0.27s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed4th of 5
102.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 5
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jun 26Ascot9fGd/Frm10thTrue39.6 -0.28104.9+0.08
28 May 26Sandown Park9fGood4thTrue38.2 -0.02106.0+0.53
Timed runs 2024-08-07 to 2026-06-16. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 1 todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-division, progress halfway, hung left home turn, one paced”
#4MIDAK (FR)MIDFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 4 · OR · Rossa Ryan / Ian Williams
MARKET backed 32 → 29
106.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
106.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 106
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
41
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 107.41% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Christian Williams
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 106 is below the ~113.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 5
-0.27 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.4 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph5th of 5
+0.93s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 5
107.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 5
6.87 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jun 26Goodwood11fSoft4thTrue39.2 +0.40110.8+1.44
7 Jun 25Epsom Downs12fGd/Sft10thTrue37.5 -0.93104.0+0.43
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-06-07 to 2026-06-07. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“dwelt, held up, effort under 2f out, threatened briefly, no extra final 100 yds”
#5AL ZANATIPROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR · William Buick / Charlie Appleby
MARKET backed 4.3 → 3.8
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
105FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
105 · ranked #6 here · career best 110
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
65
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 102.47% (holds late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Appleby · 699 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 9-10f trips27/9927.3%1.16/3020.0%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)16/6325.4%0.931/911.1%0.32
At Newbury (small sample)9/2733.3%1.281/520.0%0.85
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 110 is below the ~113.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 5
-0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 5
+0.07s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 5
102.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 5
7.16 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-08-08 to 2026-05-14. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 1 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, every chance over 2f out, weakened over 1f out”