THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. The measured order tops BAHADUR on 100, 3.7pts clear of RIDE THE THUNDER (IRE). BAHADUR: a genuine turn of foot — 6th-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is SHRIMP SHADY — just behind the quickest early pair — presses — and finds plenty late.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
BAHADUR
OR 94 · William Buick / S. P. C. Woods
MARKET drifting 7 → 1000
100.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−The top rating in this field (100.0)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
RIDE THE THUNDER (IRE)
OR 89 · Tom Marquand / Roger Varian
MARKET drifting 3.9 → 1000
96.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Rated #2 in this field (96.3)Jockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
TEAM PLAYER
OR 92 · Greg Fairley / Ewan Whillans
MARKET backed 6.8 → 5.3
95.7FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (95.7)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1SHRIMP SHADYnet +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup − 5lb+ above last winning mark
2TEAM PLAYERnet +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, proven on the going, yard hot − 5lb+ above last winning mark
3BAILEYS KHELSTAR (FR)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls, proven on the going
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (4 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7
1234567
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–7).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: BAHADUR is 0/1 on softer ground · RIDE THE THUNDER (IRE) is 0/2 on softer ground · TEAM PLAYER is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
DURAJI (IRE)PROMINENT49.5%107.4just behind the quickest early pair — presses — and finds plenty late
BAHADURMID48.5%106.4a genuine turn of foot — 6th-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it
TEAM PLAYERMID48.3%109.1a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it
RIDE THE THUNDER (IRE)MID48.1%107.4a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it
SHRIMP SHADYPROMINENT47.5%109.6just behind the quickest early pair — presses — and finds plenty late
BAILEYS KHELSTAR (FR)PROMINENT49.0%108.0just behind the quickest early pair — presses — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls
ALMUHIT (IRE)PROMINENT49.8%103.6the quickest of today's early types — and finds plenty late
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
ALMUHIT (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~2.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.20s off the field’s best
BAILEYS KHELSTAR (FR)PROMINENTtypically ~1.6 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
SHRIMP SHADYPROMINENTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.11s off the field’s best
DURAJI (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · a beat slow from the stalls (0.22s off the best)
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1BAHADURMID
DRAW 1 · OR 94 · William Buick / S. P. C. Woods
MARKET drifting 7 → 1000
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
100.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
100.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 100
Official mark (OR)
94 · last won off 90
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (2.81)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 106.42% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
S. P. C. Woods · 486 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips13/8315.7%1.243/1618.8%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)14/1728.1%0.720/120.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦27/23411.5%0.913/437.0%0.55
On turf ✦12/1647.3%0.793/378.1%0.57
Above their last winning mark11/5719.3%1.33/3010.0%0.58
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)0/40.0%0.0—
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 103 at/around today's trip, clears the ~96.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.27s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
106.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 7
7.17 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle16fSlow5th—38.9 +0.06106.0——
16 Jun 26Ascot19fGd/Frm10th—37.4 +0.07102.7+0.09
22 May 26Goodwood16fGood1stTrue39.4 +0.08106.2+0.63
3 May 26Newmarket14fGd/Frm5th—39.5 -0.14108.1+0.40
29 Nov 25Wolverhampton13fSlow1stTrue38.3 -0.49109.8+0.10
Timed runs 2025-11-29 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (94 today vs 90)Yet to win at this level — a Class 3 winner, upped to Class 2 todayThe top rating in this field (100.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, shuffled back back straight, still off pace 3f out, never dangerous”
#2RIDE THE THUNDER (IRE)MID
DRAW 3 · OR 89 · Tom Marquand / Roger Varian
MARKET drifting 3.9 → 1000
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
96.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
96.3 · ranked #2 here · career best 98
Official mark (OR)
89 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.4s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 107.44% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roger Varian · 1080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a falsely-run (hidden) last run
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips11/9911.1%0.598/2334.8%1.59
In Class 1-3 company52/36714.2%0.8815/7619.7%1.23
Coming back after 15 to 45 days84/45718.4%0.923/9723.7%1.17
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/405.0%0.310/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 98 at/around today's trip, clears the ~96.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
+0.24 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
107.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 7
7.01 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle16fSlow6th—38.8 -0.09107.1——
17 May 26Hamilton Park13fGood3rdTrue39.4 +0.36103.3+0.26
4 Jun 25Nottingham10fGd/Sft1stTrue39.0 -0.04108.0+0.27
Timed runs 2025-06-04 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 2 todayRated #2 in this field (96.3)Only 1 run at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, shaken up 3f out, progress after, stayed on, clear of rest”
#3TEAM PLAYERMID
DRAW 6 · OR 92 · Greg Fairley / Ewan Whillans
MARKET backed 6.8 → 5.3
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
95.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
95.7 · ranked #3 here · career best 97
Official mark (OR)
92 · last won off 83
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (8.09)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 109.13% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ewan Whillans · 351 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)8/918.8%0.93/1421.4%2.37
On turf11/1348.2%0.755/4411.4%1.65
Coming back after 15 to 45 days11/1169.5%0.934/439.3%1.15
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)0/10.0%0.02/450.0%7.22
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 98 at/around today's trip, clears the ~96.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
+0.29 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
109.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 7
7.02 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-09-04 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
9lb above his last winning mark (92 today vs 83)Yet to win at this level — a Class 3 winner, upped to Class 2 todayRated #3 in this field (95.7)Only 2 runs at this distanceHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“rear, progress on inner 2f out, kept on”
#4SHRIMP SHADYPROMINENT
DRAW 4 · OR 87 · Rob Hornby / Andrew Balding
MARKET backed 6.4 → 1.23
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
93.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
93.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 93
Official mark (OR)
87 · last won off 82
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 109.62% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Andrew Balding · 2425 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, at Newcastle, jockey_named P. J. McDonald, off a steady mark, dropping in trip
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦49/28917.0%1.0522/9622.9%1.27
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦199/104919.0%1.1267/28623.4%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newbury21/9522.1%1.473/319.7%0.65
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 93 is below the ~96.3 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
+0.34 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
109.6%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 7
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle16fSlow6th—38.5 +0.13104.3+0.00—
3 Mar 26Wolverhampton13fStd1stTrue38.8 +0.96106.7-0.07
21 Jan 26Kempton Park10fSlow4thSlow early40.2 -0.41113.2+0.32
22 Dec 25Lingfield10fStd/Slow2ndTrue41.2 +0.35112.5+0.00
Timed runs 2025-12-22 to 2026-06-27. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (87 today vs 82)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 4 wins from 26 runsHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, ridden 2f out, led entering final 1f, kept up to work”
#5BAILEYS KHELSTAR (FR)PROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR 84 · Rossa Ryan / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 6.8 → 1000
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
90.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
90.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 91
Official mark (OR)
84 · last won off 81
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 4 tries · beats market expectation (2.22)
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.2s Usually races prominent · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 107.97% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2312 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company ✦41/5227.9%0.812/1517.9%0.74
Above their last winning mark ✦58/48811.9%0.8820/17011.8%0.81
Over 11f+ trips76/52614.4%1.0516/13611.8%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/922.2%2.311/520.0%0.89
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 91 is below the ~96.3 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.38 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
108.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length6th of 7
6.99 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-07-08. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (84 today vs 81)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 25 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“waited with, headway 1f out, led final 50 yds, kept on well”
#6DURAJI (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR 96 · Finley Marsh / Richard Hughes
MARKET drifting 21 → 1000
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
87FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87 · ranked #6 here · career best 105
Official mark (OR)
96 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
32
Sectional clock
Last time: 5.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 107.41% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1049 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦26/16415.9%0.799/7112.7%0.59
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 11f+ trips (small sample)11/7614.5%0.862/1711.8%0.73
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 105 at/around today's trip, clears the ~96.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
+0.25 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.22s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
107.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 7
7.04 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jun 26Ascot14fGd/Frm15thTrue39.8 +0.3593.5+0.07
8 May 26Chester18fGood3rd—41.0 +1.03104.7+0.20
27 Feb 26Lingfield15fStd/Slow6thTrue41.8 -0.11119.1+0.39
Timed runs 2025-08-02 to 2026-06-16. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, headed under 3f out, soon beaten”
#7ALMUHIT (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 82 · Sean Levey / Faye Bramley
MARKET drifting 7.6 → 1000
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 98
Official mark (OR)
82 · last won off 84
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 14 tries · beats market expectation (1.79)
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.5s) Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 103.62% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Faye Bramley · 84 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips3/1816.7%1.582/825.0%1.52
On turf7/4017.5%1.264/2317.4%1.36
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company2/825.0%2.490/70.0%0.0
At Newbury3/560.0%4.010/40.0%0.0
Below their last winning mark1/714.3%0.910/80.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)4/2615.4%1.051/333.3%7.66
In fields of <=7 (small sample)3/1323.1%1.321/333.3%3.15
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 98 at/around today's trip, clears the ~96.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.20 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.20s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
103.6%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length7th of 7
6.88 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Newbury16fGd/Frm2ndTrue39.2 +0.00107.8+0.00
Timed runs 2025-08-09 to 2026-06-23. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (C4→C2) — earned under different conditions2lb below his last winning mark (82 today vs 84)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayProven over the trip (14 tries, beats market expectation at 1.79)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 3 here)
LTO comment
“slowly away, pushed along early, settled in mid-field, pushed along again early in straight, left behind gradually”