THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
SONG OF THE CLYDE is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.55% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.2s off the lead. The measured order tops SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE) on 116, 7pts clear of BINHAREER (IRE) and MITBAAHY (IRE) (both 109). SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE): the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE)
OR · Sean Levey / James Owen
MARKET backed 3.75 → 3.15
116.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−The top rating in this field (116.0)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
BINHAREER (IRE)
OR · Tom Marquand / William Haggas
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 5.5
109FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Rated #2 in this field (109)Proven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 1.47)Jockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
MITBAAHY (IRE)
OR · David Egan / Charles Hills
MARKET drifting 16.5 → 20
109.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayRated #3 in this field (109.0)Proven over the trip (12 tries, beats market expectation at 2.31)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE)net +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band
2SYMBOL OF HONOURnet +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, proven at trip, proven on the going, yard hot
3SONG OF THE CLYDEnet +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip, proven on the going, yard positive in today’s setup
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
JASOUR FIGURE #5
Clive Cox's runners in Class 1-3 company win 16.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Clive Cox's runners kept to the same class win 18.1% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
SONG OF THE CLYDE FIGURE #6
Clive Cox's runners in Class 1-3 company win 16.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Clive Cox's runners kept to the same class win 18.1% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7
1234567
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 6.0 of 7, field average 4.0).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · BINHAREER (IRE) is 1/4 on softer ground · MITBAAHY (IRE) is 1/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BINHAREER (IRE)HELD-UP50.7%98.0held up without the late gear (6th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
JASOURHELD-UP50.8%97.0held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
MITBAAHY (IRE)HELD-UP50.2%98.6one-paced late — 5th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
NOBLE CHAMPION (IRE)MID49.6%100.3the best late speed in a one-paced field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE)MID49.9%100.3the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
SYMBOL OF HONOURMID50.4%98.9the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
SONG OF THE CLYDEPROMINENT50.8%98.7the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
SONG OF THE CLYDEPROMINENTtypically ~1.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best
SONG OF THE CLYDE is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1SOLDIER'S TREE (IRE)MID
DRAW 5 · OR · Sean Levey / James Owen
MARKET backed 3.75 → 3.15
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
116.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
116.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 116
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · beats market expectation (1.78)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Owen · 1537 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: at 4-8 odds, without a recent yard winner, on Good to Firm ground
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 1-3 company11/1836.0%0.6910/9810.2%1.32
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)0/110.0%0.02/728.6%2.27
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 116 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.4 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
100.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 7
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Ascot6fGd/Frm3rdTrue41.0 +0.23100.0+0.15
23 May 26Salisbury6fGood3rd—39.9 -0.47100.7+0.34
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-23 to 2026-06-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (116.0)Only 4 runs at this distanceMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway 2f out, challenged over 1f out, kept on”
#2BINHAREER (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR · Tom Marquand / William Haggas
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 5.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
109FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
109 · ranked #2 here · career best 114
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 89
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (1.47)
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.04% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
William Haggas · 1576 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: jockey_named Cieren Fallon
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦65/27823.4%1.2312/7017.1%1.21
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)134/54924.4%1.126/4912.2%0.56
At Newbury21/9123.1%1.193/2412.5%0.78
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦138/63321.8%0.9827/15217.8%0.85
In fields of <=7 ✦94/35226.7%0.9125/10623.6%0.85
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 114 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
+0.20 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.44s
Slow away in 4 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
98.0%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Ascot6fGd/Frm6thTrue40.9 +0.10100.6+0.22
13 May 26York6fGd/Sft2ndTrue42.2 +0.3497.8+0.43
11 Oct 25York6fGood1stTrue42.2 +0.4998.2+0.51
20 Sep 25Ayr6fSoft6thTrue41.1 -0.2196.4+0.67
6 Sep 25Ascot6fGood3rdTrue41.0 +0.4896.9+0.23
16 Aug 25Newmarket6fGood2ndTrue41.7 +0.0098.2+0.56
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-08-16 to 2026-06-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 2 winner, upped to Class 1 todayRated #2 in this field (109)Proven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 1.47)Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 21 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“waited with, effort when short of room under 2f out, carried head bit awkwardly, some late headway”
#3MITBAAHY (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 2 · OR · David Egan / Charles Hills
MARKET drifting 16.5 → 20
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−
109.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
109.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 115
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 12 tries · beats market expectation (2.31)
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.58% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charles Hills · 735 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips20/2268.8%0.695/4411.4%1.31
Coming back after 15 to 45 days34/29611.5%0.929/6613.6%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company17/2068.3%0.930/500.0%0.0
At Newbury0/430.0%0.00/160.0%0.0
On turf ✦41/4319.5%0.97/967.3%0.73
In fields of <=722/12218.0%1.035/4211.9%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 115 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.48 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.51s
Slow away in 4 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
98.6%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 7
7.58 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Ascot6fGd/Frm5thTrue41.0 +0.23100.3+0.64
28 Mar 26Doncaster6fGd/Sft12thTrue40.9 +0.8689.4+0.68
2 Feb 25Lingfield6fSlow2ndTrue42.6 +1.09107.4+0.20
Timed runs 2024-05-04 to 2026-06-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayRated #3 in this field (109.0)Proven over the trip (12 tries, beats market expectation at 2.31)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 12 runsHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“very slowly away, held up, progress from 2f out, stayed on, nearest finish”
#4SYMBOL OF HONOURMID
DRAW 1 · OR · William Buick / Charlie Appleby
MARKET backed 5.3 → 4.7
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
109.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
109.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 115
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (1.48)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Appleby · 699 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days77/20537.6%1.1610/5617.9%0.75
Over 5-6f trips38/10635.8%1.186/2821.4%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)9/2733.3%1.281/520.0%0.85
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 115 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.25s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
98.9%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 7
7.90 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle6fSlow3rdFast early42.6 +0.5198.3+0.33
Timed runs 2024-09-26 to 2026-06-27. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayProven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 1.48)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 1 here)
LTO comment
“mid-field, pushed along before halfway, stayed on”
#5JASOURHELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR · P. J. McDonald / Clive Cox
MARKET 15
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
107.5FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
107.5 · ranked #5 here · career best 114
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 15 tries · beats market expectation (1.57)
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.05% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Clive Cox · 797 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=721/12516.8%0.7213/3636.1%2.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days44/32813.4%0.9615/8417.9%1.42
In Class 1-3 company ✦28/22612.4%1.0413/7816.7%1.35
Over 5-6f trips ✦59/39415.0%1.0220/11916.8%1.27
At this time of year (Q3)38/25514.9%1.164/2814.3%1.26
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/539.4%1.151/137.7%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 114 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.47s
Slow away in 5 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
97.0%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 7
7.46 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-06-21 to 2026-06-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayProven over the trip (15 tries, beats market expectation at 1.57)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“chased leaders after 1f, weakened 2f out, eased”
#6SONG OF THE CLYDEPROMINENT
DRAW 6 · OR · Rossa Ryan / Clive Cox
MARKET drifting 6.6 → 7.4
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
105FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
105 · ranked #6 here · career best 109
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (2.24)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Clive Cox · 797 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=721/12516.8%0.7213/3636.1%2.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days44/32813.4%0.9615/8417.9%1.42
In Class 1-3 company ✦28/22612.4%1.0413/7816.7%1.35
Over 5-6f trips ✦59/39415.0%1.0220/11916.8%1.27
At this time of year (Q3)38/25514.9%1.164/2814.3%1.26
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/539.4%1.151/137.7%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 109 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
98.7%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 7
7.61 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Ascot6fGd/Frm7thTrue41.3 +0.1298.1+0.10
16 May 26Newbury6fGood1stSlow early39.9 -0.04103.0+0.09
Timed runs 2025-08-21 to 2026-06-19. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayProven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 2.24)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, pushed along over 2f out, hung left over 1f out, weakened”
#7NOBLE CHAMPION (IRE)MID
DRAW 3 · OR · Kieran Shoemark / Ed Walker
MARKET drifting 18 → 23
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
96.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
96.3 · ranked #7 here · career best 115
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · beats market expectation (3.03)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1100 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 1-3 company31/28710.8%1.015/9915.2%1.62
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0336/20217.8%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦31/22114.0%0.9210/8911.2%0.73
In fields of <=744/20421.6%1.0313/7018.6%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 115 at/around today's trip, clears the ~109 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.67 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 42.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.24s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
100.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 7
7.38 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle6fSlow9thFast early42.1 -0.0495.3+0.00
Timed runs 2025-04-12 to 2026-06-27. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 1 todayOnly 5 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 18 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“mid-field, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out”