THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.67% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 4 at halfway, 0.25s off the lead. The measured order tops BINT ARCHANGE (IRE) on 90, 1pts clear of SKY SECRET. BINT ARCHANGE (IRE): just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls. The shape danger is ZIGAZIG AH — concedes ~1.9L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, without over-committing — and finds plenty late.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 20
BINT ARCHANGE (IRE)
OR · William Buick / Richard Hughes
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 9
90.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 2 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (90.0)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runs
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 14
SKY SECRET
OR · P. J. McDonald / Clive Cox
MARKET drifting 8.8 → 12.5
89.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Rated #2 in this field (89.0)Runs Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 15
ETIENNE
OR · David Egan / Richard Spencer
MARKET backed 7.6 → 5.8
85.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Rated #3 in this field (85.0)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1BINT ARCHANGE (IRE)net +8figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here
2ROLLTHEDICEBABY (IRE)net +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here
3MINSTER BOY (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), backed since morning, energy in the winning band, yard hot, FormLab watch flag
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
MINSTER BOY (IRE) FIGURE #6
Eve Johnson Houghton's runners kept to the same class win 17.6% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Eve Johnson Houghton's runners coming back after 8 to 14 days win 21.4% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
ZIGAZIG AH FIGURE #12
Richard Spencer's runners coming back after 15 to 45 days win 16.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Richard Spencer's runners on turf win 20.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (12 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 24 runners · stalls 1–26
1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–26).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: BINT ARCHANGE (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · SKY SECRET is 0/1 on softer ground · ETIENNE is 0/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
FROM ME TO YOU (IRE)HELD-UP49.5%100.9solid late gains (14th of 24 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
WAIT GEORDIEPROMINENT50.3%99.3concedes ~2.1L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
BINT ARCHANGE (IRE)FRONT48.7%101.9just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
CALL ME TOMORROW (IRE)PROMINENT49.0%102.3concedes ~3.0L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
SKY SECRETFRONT50.8%98.2a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
VOLLERING (IRE)PROMINENT49.6%101.0concedes ~1.5L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — and holds on late
BALLISTY (IRE)FRONT48.2%104.3concedes ~1.5L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls
BILL THE BULL (IRE)FRONT51.6%98.3just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
FINAL APPEAL (IRE)FRONT49.5%99.6concedes ~1.9L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
LEUCOTHEA (IRE)MID49.7%102.7solid late gains (7th of 24 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
NASCENT STARMID47.6%104.6a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
SEATHEGULLSMID50.3%100.2one-paced late — 18th of 24 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
COURAGE BEST (IRE)MID49.4%100.9solid late gains (14th of 24 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
MINSTER BOY (IRE)HELD-UP48.7%102.3solid late gains (8th of 24 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
NIEWIADOMA (IRE)PROMINENT50.3%99.8concedes ~2.6L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
ROLLTHEDICEBABY (IRE)MID48.0%105.1a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
ETIENNEHELD-UP48.6%103.7a genuine turn of foot — 5th-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
ANGELS LANEMID48.7%101.8solid late gains (11th of 24 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
KODI BEAR LIGHT (IRE)PROMINENT50.3%100.2concedes ~1.5L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
HOLI SCARLETT (IRE)HELD-UP48.1%102.7solid late gains (6th of 24 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
PAST PASSIONMID49.5%101.4solid late gains (12th of 24 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
SEED YA LATER (IRE)HELD-UP49.6%100.2one-paced late — 17th of 24 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ZIGAZIG AHFRONT47.4%107.1concedes ~1.9L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, without over-committing — and finds plenty late
HOLLIESTHEDOLLIEPROMINENT50.2%99.2the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
HOLLIESTHEDOLLIEPROMINENTtypically ~3.4 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.15s off the field’s best
SKY SECRETFRONTtypically ~3.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
BILL THE BULL (IRE)FRONTtypically ~2.8 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
BINT ARCHANGE (IRE)FRONTtypically ~2.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
VOLLERING (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best
BALLISTY (IRE)FRONTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
KODI BEAR LIGHT (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
FINAL APPEAL (IRE)FRONTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
ZIGAZIG AHFRONTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best
WAIT GEORDIEPROMINENTtypically ~1.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best
NIEWIADOMA (IRE)PROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.15s off the field’s best
CALL ME TOMORROW (IRE)PROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1BINT ARCHANGE (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 20 · OR · William Buick / Richard Hughes
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 9
90.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
90.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 90
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 4 tries · beats market expectation (3.08)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1049 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Too few runners to read reliably
In fields of 16+ (small sample)2/414.9%0.930/180.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 90 at/around today's trip, clears the ~89.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields17th of 24
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 24
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed10th of 24
101.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 24
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.07fast2f+0.08fast3fledpar4fledslow5fledslow
Timed runs 2026-04-15 to 2026-07-03. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 2 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (90.0)Improving fast — last run rated 90, 21pts above his recent average of 68.3Only 4 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leaders, shaken up 2f out, weakened over 1f out”
#2SKY SECRETFRONT
DRAW 14 · OR · P. J. McDonald / Clive Cox
MARKET drifting 8.8 → 12.5
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
89.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
89.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 89
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (1.46)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Clive Cox · 797 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 1-3 company ✦28/22612.4%1.0413/7816.7%1.35
Over 5-6f trips ✦59/39415.0%1.0220/11916.8%1.27
At this time of year (Q3)38/25514.9%1.164/2814.3%1.26
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)7/6710.4%1.00/110.0%0.0
At Newbury (small sample)5/539.4%1.151/137.7%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 89 at/around today's trip, clears the ~89.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields20th of 24
-0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.0 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph5th of 24
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed24th of 24
98.2%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 24
7.46 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 May 26Leicester5fGd/Frm1stTrue41.0 -0.0899.6+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledpar2fledpar3fledpar4fledpar5fledpar
Timed runs 2026-04-25 to 2026-05-09. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 2 todayRated #2 in this field (89.0)Improving fast — last run rated 89, 13pts above his recent average of 75.5Only 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, shaken up under 2f out, edged left final 1f, asserted final 100 yds”
#3ETIENNEHELD-UP
DRAW 15 · OR · David Egan / Richard Spencer
MARKET backed 7.6 → 5.8
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
85.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
85.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 85
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
23
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 103.72% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 85
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Spencer · 501 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦25/20212.4%1.087/4216.7%1.34
On turf ✦23/22910.0%1.1914/6720.9%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/15715.9%1.432/229.1%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/922.2%2.40/20.0%0.0
In fields of 16+ (small sample)5/519.8%2.070/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 85 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 24
+0.46 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.4 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph19th of 24
+0.29s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 24
103.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length14th of 24
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Newmarket6fGd/Frm2ndSlow early40.4 +0.46103.7+0.29
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.34par2f+0.39slow3f+0.29slow4f+0.15slow5f+0.09fast6f+0.01very fast
Timed runs 2026-06-25 to 2026-06-25. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (85.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runs
LTO comment
“held up, headway 2f out, challenged final 1f, kept on, just failed”
#4ANGELS LANEMID
DRAW 16 · OR · Laura Pearson / Henry Candy
MARKET 18
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
82.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
82.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 1 tries · beats market expectation (54.09)
Days since last run
42
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.8% (holds late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 82
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Henry Candy · 215 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips2/573.5%0.394/3112.9%1.41
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 16+0/50.0%0.0—
Coming back after 15 to 45 days2/702.9%0.272/326.2%0.66
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)2/277.4%1.241/333.3%4.71
At Newbury (small sample)0/120.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 82 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 24
+0.83 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.8 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph9th of 24
+0.04s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed11th of 24
101.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length10th of 24
7.43 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jun 26Chepstow5fSoft1stTrue41.8 +0.83101.8+0.04
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.68par2f+0.62par3f+0.44par4fledfast5fledpar
Timed runs 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-06. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 1 run at this distance
LTO comment
“held up, ran green, headway wide over 1f out, led entering final 1f, tackled final 100 yds, ridden out”
#5ROLLTHEDICEBABY (IRE)MID
DRAW 2 · OR · Sean Levey / Richard Hannon
MARKET backed 9.4 → 8
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
78.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
78.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (1.58)
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 105.06% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5712.3%1.51
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 78 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 24
+0.43 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.0 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph16th of 24
+0.17s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 24
105.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length16th of 24
7.27 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26Goodwood6fSoft1stTrue37.6 +0.05100.2+0.03
1 May 26Goodwood5.1fGood2ndSlow early42.5 +0.82109.9+0.32
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-01 to 2026-06-12. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“prominent, led over 1f out, drew clear final 1f, pushed out”
#6MINSTER BOY (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 4 · OR · Charles Bishop / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET backed 15.5 → 13
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
76.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 76
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
9
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.28% (holds late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Eve Johnson Houghton · 1036 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a TFR-FALLING figure trend
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦38/36410.4%1.028/3622.2%1.41
Coming back after 8 to 14 days ✦21/13116.0%1.49/4221.4%1.27
On turf ✦64/57611.1%1.0625/17014.7%1.24
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company ✦14/2326.0%0.733/654.6%0.54
Too few runners to read reliably
In fields of 16+ (small sample)2/395.1%1.140/150.0%0.0
At Newbury (small sample)5/875.7%0.681/185.6%0.47
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 76 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields23rd of 24
-0.22 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.4 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph24th of 24
+0.89s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 24
102.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 24
7.59 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.9 +0.40101.5—
15 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm4thFast early41.9 -0.85103.1+0.89
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-15 to 2026-07-09. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 14 runsRace-fit — ran 9 days ago
LTO comment
“mid-division, headway under 2f out, edged left, took second close home”
#7BILL THE BULL (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 3 · OR · Pat Cosgrave / Adam Kirby
MARKET drifting 48 → 60
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
74.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.7 · ranked #7 here · career best 87
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · in line with the market (0.98)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Adam Kirby · 108 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips—11/6317.5%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)—0/200.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days—2/414.9%0.34
On turf—6/728.3%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
In fields of 16+ (small sample)—1/250.0%7.39
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 87 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields19th of 24
-0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 24
-0.04s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 5
Finish · closing speed23rd of 24
98.3%
One-paced late
Stride length20th of 24
7.19 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-07-03. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayDrops in class todayOnly 5 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 0 wins from 13 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, in command final 1f, ridden out”
#8FINAL APPEAL (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 11 · OR · Clifford Lee / K. R. Burke
MARKET drifting 27 → 34
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
74FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74 · ranked #8 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · below market expectation (0.9)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
K. R. Burke · 1716 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦92/52017.7%1.0511/4922.4%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 16+8/1117.2%1.111/333.0%0.5
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)7/3520.0%1.62/1118.2%1.26
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 82 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 24
+0.43 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 24
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed20th of 24
99.6%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 24
7.72 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-08 to 2026-05-06. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 19 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.31x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, effort under 2f out, weakened final 1f”
#9KODI BEAR LIGHT (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 23 · OR · Jack Nicholls / K. R. Burke
MARKET drifting 15.5 → 23
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
74FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74 · ranked #9 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · below market expectation (0.84)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
K. R. Burke · 1716 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦92/52017.7%1.0511/4922.4%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 16+8/1117.2%1.111/333.0%0.5
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)7/3520.0%1.62/1118.2%1.26
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 80 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields13th of 24
+0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 24
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed16th of 24
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 24
7.80 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
30 May 26Beverley5fGd/Frm6thTrue40.1 -0.01101.4+0.09
16 May 26Thirsk5fGood1stFast early41.9 -0.2399.2-0.06
Timed runs 2026-04-29 to 2026-05-30. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 19 runsJockey goes well at this track (2.27x market expectation)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.84 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, ridden 2f out, weakened final 1f”
#10VOLLERING (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 26 · OR · Tom Marquand / Archie Watson
MARKET 9.4
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
72FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
72 · ranked #10 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (3.38)
Days since last run
62
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 101.03% (holds late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Archie Watson · 1276 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: in fields of <=7
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)35/30011.7%0.960/230.0%0.0
In Class 1-3 company20/2258.9%1.033/555.5%0.7
Too few runners to read reliably
In fields of 16+ (small sample)1/571.8%0.321/128.3%2.97
At Newbury (small sample)4/2913.8%2.11/714.3%2.79
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)15/8218.3%1.50/120.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 78 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 24
+0.54 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.2 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph12th of 24
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed13th of 24
101.0%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 24
7.65 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.06par2fledpar3fledpar4fledpar5fledpar
Timed runs 2026-04-20 to 2026-04-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, led under 3f out, headed under 2f out, weakened entering final 1f”
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Jones · 573 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, as an exposed handicapper
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company2/414.9%0.920/110.0%0.0
On turf17/2038.4%0.80/590.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)10/1506.7%0.681/137.7%0.62
Over 5-6f trips ✦13/1488.8%0.794/439.3%0.66
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)1/616.7%2.570/50.0%0.0
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)3/1421.4%0.950/50.0%0.0
In fields of 16+ (small sample)2/1118.2%2.60/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 73 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields21st of 24
-0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 24
+0.00s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 2 of 4
Finish · closing speed4th of 24
104.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length6th of 24
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jul 26York6fGd/Frm3rd—39.9 -0.18102.0+0.07—
16 Jun 26Wolverhampton6fStd3rdTrue38.8 +0.00103.4+0.01
15 May 26Newmarket6fGood2ndTrue40.2 +0.02102.9-0.07
1 May 26Goodwood5.1fGood3rdSlow early41.4 -0.28108.8+0.00
Timed runs 2026-05-01 to 2026-07-11. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 7 days agoRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led until over 2f out, one paced”
#12ZIGAZIG AHFRONT
DRAW 13 · OR · Saffie Osborne / Richard Spencer
MARKET backed 19 → 11
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
72.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
72.0 · ranked #12 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (1.85)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Spencer · 501 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦25/20212.4%1.087/4216.7%1.34
On turf ✦23/22910.0%1.1914/6720.9%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/15715.9%1.432/229.1%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/922.2%2.40/20.0%0.0
In fields of 16+ (small sample)5/519.8%2.070/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 72 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 24
+0.36 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.1 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph13th of 24
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 24
107.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length22nd of 24
7.12 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Yarmouth6fGd/Frm1stTrue40.6 +0.18103.5-0.01
4 Jun 26Lingfield6fStd2ndTrue41.6 +0.55110.8+0.27
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-04 to 2026-06-26. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runsRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, led 2f out, ridden out”
#13LEUCOTHEA (IRE)MID
DRAW 5 · OR · Joe Leavy / Richard Hannon
MARKET drifting 90 → 130
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
66.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
66.3 · ranked #13 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
41
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.66% (holds late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5712.3%1.51
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 67 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields15th of 24
+0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 24
+0.08s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 24
102.7%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length23rd of 24
7.02 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jun 26Goodwood5fSoft2ndSlow early40.2 +0.03102.0+0.02
8 May 26Wolverhampton6fStd3rdSlow early38.7 -0.07103.9+0.00
27 Apr 26Bath5fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.1 +0.19102.0+0.22
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-04-27 to 2026-06-07. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 3 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“in touch, challenged final 1f, ran on”
#14HOLI SCARLETT (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 17 · OR · Jack Doughty / Stuart Williams
MARKET backed 130 → 100
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
66.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
66.0 · ranked #14 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · beats market expectation (2.2)
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.72% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Stuart Williams · 958 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, off marks in the 61 to 75 range, switching jockey after a defeat, with their 3yos, off a judgement-rated last figure
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)44/28215.6%1.383/2313.0%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/1219.1%0.712/336.1%0.58
In Class 1-3 company14/14010.0%1.213/545.6%0.82
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)0/60.0%0.00/60.0%0.0
In fields of 16+ (small sample)1/195.3%1.750/130.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 67 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 24
+0.33 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph23rd of 24
+0.66s
Slow away in 4 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed6th of 24
102.7%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length11th of 24
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-05-03 to 2026-07-08. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“rear, ridden and headway entering final 1f, kept on”
#15PAST PASSIONMID
DRAW 6 · OR · Tyler Heard / Jonathan Portman
MARKET drifting 120 → 170
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
65.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
65.0 · ranked #15 here · career best 69
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.41% (holds late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jonathan Portman · 638 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company9/7811.5%1.551/205.0%0.49
Over 5-6f trips18/12714.2%1.313/476.4%0.66
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/4311.6%1.82/1118.2%2.27
In fields of 16+ (small sample)0/170.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 69 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 24
+0.32 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph17th of 24
+0.21s
Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed12th of 24
101.4%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length21st of 24
7.14 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-07-02. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“tracked pace, outpaced 2f out, headway final 1f, ran on”
#16CALL ME TOMORROW (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 9 · OR · Jason Watson / Richard Hannon
MARKET backed 120 → 80
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
63FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
63 · ranked #16 here · career best 83
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 102.27% (holds late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5712.3%1.51
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 83 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields10th of 24
+0.25 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 24
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 24
102.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length5th of 24
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26York5fGood5thSlow early40.8 -0.03102.1+0.04
23 May 26Salisbury5fGood2nd—39.3 +0.63103.0-0.18
3 May 26Newmarket5fGd/Frm5thTrue42.4 +0.2199.6+0.09
Timed runs 2026-04-15 to 2026-06-12. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsBOOKING UPGRADE — 12m top-18 jockey booked, only 0 ride(s) for this yard in 12m, after non-elite riders on the horse: an intent read (context only,…Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, shaken up over 1f out, weakened final 1f”
#17NASCENT STARMID
DRAW 25 · OR · Finley Marsh / Hugo Palmer
MARKET drifting 160 → 350
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
63FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
63 · ranked #17 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.62% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Hugo Palmer · 1165 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: jockey_named Oisin Murphy, without a recent yard winner, in fields of 8-11
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦42/26915.6%1.1915/9116.5%1.3
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 16+2/623.2%0.80/200.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)53/38413.8%1.23/456.7%0.56
Coming back after 15 to 45 days63/47713.2%1.0512/1219.9%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)3/2910.3%0.950/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 64 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 24
+0.34 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.5 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph21st of 24
+0.39s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 24
104.6%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length18th of 24
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm4thSlow early41.6 +0.17103.2—
11 Jun 26Nottingham5fGd/Sft4thSlow early39.4 +0.50106.1+0.39
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“mid-division, shaken up under 2f out, stayed on final ½f, more to give”
#18SEED YA LATER (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 1 · OR · Rose Dawes / Jack Channon
MARKET drifting 170 → 290
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
60.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
60.7 · ranked #18 here · career best 70
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · beats market expectation (1.2)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.16% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Channon · 750 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, when the yard has won in the last 3 days
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 16+4/429.5%1.573/2114.3%2.81
At Newbury3/456.7%0.962/1612.5%1.99
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)31/23413.2%0.971/214.8%0.4
Over 5-6f trips38/20718.4%1.278/7211.1%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 70 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields14th of 24
+0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph18th of 24
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed17th of 24
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length15th of 24
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-07-02. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 3 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.33x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Held-Up) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“led until over 1f out, weakened”
#19WAIT GEORDIEPROMINENT
DRAW 8 · OR · Rossa Ryan / Hugo Palmer
MARKET backed 190 → 120
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
58.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
58.3 · ranked #19 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · beats market expectation (1.51)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Hugo Palmer · 1165 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: jockey_named Oisin Murphy, without a recent yard winner, in fields of 8-11
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦42/26915.6%1.1915/9116.5%1.3
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 16+2/623.2%0.80/200.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)53/38413.8%1.23/456.7%0.56
Coming back after 15 to 45 days63/47713.2%1.0512/1219.9%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)3/2910.3%0.950/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 82 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields12th of 24
+0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph11th of 24
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed21st of 24
99.3%
One-paced late
Stride length13th of 24
7.35 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-05 to 2026-07-02. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“close up, ridden 2f out, soon beaten”
#20FROM ME TO YOU (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 10 · OR · Pat Dobbs / Richard Hannon
MARKET drifting 32 → 50
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
57.0 · ranked #20 here · career best 61
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
75
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.86% (holds late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5712.3%1.51
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 61 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields11th of 24
+0.24 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph22nd of 24
+0.52s
Slow away in 3 of 3 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed14th of 24
100.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length19th of 24
7.20 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 May 26Kempton Park6fSlow6thTrue39.8 +0.52106.4+0.66
Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-05-04. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 3 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“slowly away, behind, shaken up over 1f out, never on terms”
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Gary & Josh Moore · 791 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips8/958.4%0.99/4719.1%1.92
Coming back after 15 to 45 days34/31110.9%0.9418/8720.7%1.91
At this time of year (Q3)26/2968.8%0.746/2227.3%1.7
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company4/854.7%0.591/224.5%0.45
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)1/195.3%0.581/250.0%3.4
In fields of 16+ (small sample)0/80.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 56 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields22nd of 24
-0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 24
+0.00s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 2 of 2
Finish · closing speed18th of 24
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length12th of 24
7.38 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm5thSlow early41.5 +0.01104.2—
19 Jun 26Goodwood5fGood4th—43.1 -0.1497.3+0.00
28 Mar 26Doncaster5fGd/Sft7thSlow early39.3 -0.2798.9+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden 2f out, beaten when hung left approaching final 1f”
#22NIEWIADOMA (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 24 · OR · Pierre-Louis Jamin / Archie Watson
MARKET drifting 100 → 170
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
53FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53 · ranked #22 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · beats market expectation (3.5)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Archie Watson · 1276 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: in fields of <=7
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)35/30011.7%0.960/230.0%0.0
In Class 1-3 company20/2258.9%1.033/555.5%0.7
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦44/4849.1%0.7911/1358.1%0.7
Too few runners to read reliably
In fields of 16+ (small sample)1/571.8%0.321/128.3%2.97
At Newbury (small sample)4/2913.8%2.11/714.3%2.79
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 80 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields18th of 24
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.5 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph14th of 24
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed19th of 24
99.8%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 24
7.46 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-18 to 2026-05-15. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayDrops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
LTO comment
“chased leaders, shaken up over 2f out, hampered under 2f out, weakened”
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jonathan Portman · 638 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company9/7811.5%1.551/205.0%0.49
Over 5-6f trips18/12714.2%1.313/476.4%0.66
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/4311.6%1.82/1118.2%2.27
In fields of 16+ (small sample)0/170.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 59 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields16th of 24
+0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph15th of 24
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed22nd of 24
99.2%
One-paced late
Stride length24th of 24
6.99 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm8thFast early42.6 -0.1297.7+0.00
4 Jun 26Lingfield6fStd4thTrue39.2 -0.23102.1+0.32
29 Apr 26Bath5fFirm7thTrue40.8 +0.5197.7+0.14
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Rod Millman · 776 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.996/2326.1%1.79
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)15/10913.8%1.440/100.0%0.0
In fields of 16+ (small sample)2/219.5%1.610/60.0%0.0
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)7/1936.8%1.614/757.1%1.99
At Newbury (small sample)4/3611.1%1.271/616.7%1.38
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 50 is below the ~89.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields24th of 24
-0.53 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph20th of 24
+0.31s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed15th of 24
100.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length17th of 24
7.26 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-06-08 to 2026-07-13. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 3 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (2.45x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 5 days ago