THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.55% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.2s off the lead. The measured order tops SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE) on 79, 8pts clear of AGRIPPA (IRE) and CAN'T STOP (both 71). SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE): the quickest of today's early types, without over-committing — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls. The shape danger is CAN'T STOP — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 8
SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE)
OR · Georgia Dobie / Clive Cox
MARKET drifting 5.4 → 6.4
79.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−The top rating in this field (79.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.69x market expectation)Runs Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
AGRIPPA (IRE)
OR · Pat Dobbs / Richard Hannon
MARKET backed 4.8 → 3.85
71.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Rated #2 in this field (71.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
CAN'T STOP
OR · Saffie Osborne / Richard Spencer
MARKET 6.6
71.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (71.0)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE)net +8figure top-2, form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup
2AGRIPPA (IRE)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, energy in the winning band
3CAN'T STOPnet +4race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
RAPID DEPLOYMENT (FR) FIGURE #4
Ralph Beckett's runners dropping in class win 27.4% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
CHIEF MINISTER FIGURE #
Eve Johnson Houghton's runners at this time of year (Q3) win 22.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Eve Johnson Houghton's runners on turf win 14.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
FIRST MATE (IRE) FIGURE #
Eve Johnson Houghton's runners at this time of year (Q3) win 22.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Eve Johnson Houghton's runners on turf win 14.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 10 runners · stalls 1–10
12345678910
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 7.5 of 10, field average 5.5).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · AGRIPPA (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · CAN'T STOP is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE)FRONT48.8%102.4the quickest of today's early types, without over-committing — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
AGRIPPA (IRE)PROMINENT49.5%101.1just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late
BADDADDAN (IRE)———-
CALIFORNIA SCHOOL (IRE)———-
CAN'T STOPHELD-UP46.1%111.0the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
CHIEF MINISTER———-
FIRST MATE (IRE)———-
RAPID DEPLOYMENT (FR)HELD-UP50.8%97.8held up without the late gear (4th of 4 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
SAYID HARRY ANGEL———-
UNTOUCHABLE (IRE)———-
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE)FRONTtypically ~2.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
AGRIPPA (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.4 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.14s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1SATELLITE OF LOVE (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 8 · OR · Georgia Dobie / Clive Cox
MARKET drifting 5.4 → 6.4
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
79.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
79.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 79
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 1 tries · beats market expectation (8.63)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 79
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Clive Cox · 797 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦59/39415.0%1.0220/11916.8%1.27
At this time of year (Q3)38/25514.9%1.164/2814.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-1150/31016.1%1.228/7311.0%0.76
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)7/6710.4%1.00/110.0%0.0
At Newbury (small sample)5/539.4%1.151/137.7%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.63 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.5 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.00s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 1 of 1
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
102.4%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 4
7.61 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm1st—41.5 +0.63102.4+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fled2fled3fled4f+0.035fled6fled
Timed runs 2026-05-23 to 2026-05-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (79.0)Only 1 run at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.69x market expectation)Runs Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“soon led, pushed along over 2f out, asserted final 1f, stayed on well”
#2AGRIPPA (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR · Pat Dobbs / Richard Hannon
MARKET backed 4.8 → 3.85
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
71.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
71.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 71
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 101.13% (holds late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 71
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5712.3%1.51
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.819/6214.5%1.28
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 71 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
+0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.14s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
101.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 4
7.30 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-03 to 2026-07-03. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (71.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 23 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, every chance when ran green over 1f out, held when short of room close home”
#3CAN'T STOPHELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR · Saffie Osborne / Richard Spencer
MARKET 6.6
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
71.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
71.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 71
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 111.0% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 71
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Spencer · 501 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦25/20212.4%1.087/4216.7%1.34
On turf ✦23/22910.0%1.1914/6720.9%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/15715.9%1.432/229.1%0.71
In Class 4-5 company31/20814.9%1.097/5911.9%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/922.2%2.40/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 71 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.26 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.6 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
-0.08s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 1 of 1
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
111.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 4
7.17 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.26very slow2f+0.18very slow3f+0.07very slow4f+0.07par5f+0.05very fast6f+0.18very fast
Timed runs 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-02. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (71.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runsSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Held-Up) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“chased leader, effort 2f out, kept on, no match for winner”
#4RAPID DEPLOYMENT (FR)HELD-UP
DRAW 9 · OR · Rossa Ryan / Ralph Beckett
MARKET drifting 16 → 32
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
43.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
43.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 43
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
47
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.85% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 43
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ralph Beckett · 1375 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 46 to 90 days19/11716.2%1.016/2425.0%1.6
At this time of year (Q3)90/46719.3%0.9815/5328.3%1.4
Over 5-6f trips29/18615.6%0.8515/6323.8%1.34
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)9/7412.2%0.862/1811.1%0.97
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 43 is below the ~71.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 4
+0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.5 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.31s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
97.8%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 4
8.11 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jun 26Lingfield6fGd/Frm7thTrue41.5 +0.1397.8+0.31
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-01 to 2026-06-01. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 1 run at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRun-style and sectional profile are mismatched to how this course & distance is won
LTO comment
“slowly away, held up, effort when edged left over 2f out, weakened final 1f”
#5BADDADDAN (IRE)
DRAW 3 · OR · George Wood / Richard Spencer
MARKET drifting 24 → 32
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Spencer · 501 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦23/22910.0%1.1914/6720.9%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/15715.9%1.432/229.1%0.71
In Class 4-5 company31/20814.9%1.097/5911.9%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/922.2%2.40/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 11 runsJockey goes well at this track (2.45x market expectation)
#6CALIFORNIA SCHOOL (IRE)
DRAW 1 · OR · Tom Marquand / Roger Varian
MARKET drifting 13.5 → 21
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roger Varian · 1080 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a falsely-run (hidden) last run
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦23/17613.1%0.774/2516.0%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/405.0%0.310/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Jockey goes well at this track (1.38x market expectation)
#7CHIEF MINISTER
DRAW 6 · OR · Callum Hutchinson / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET drifting 30 → 40
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Eve Johnson Houghton · 1036 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a TFR-FALLING figure trend
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦38/36410.4%1.028/3622.2%1.41
On turf ✦64/57611.1%1.0625/17014.7%1.24
In Class 4-5 company ✦66/49713.3%1.1423/14316.1%1.17
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/875.7%0.681/185.6%0.47
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 14 runs
#8FIRST MATE (IRE)
DRAW 5 · OR · Charles Bishop / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET drifting 13.5 → 24
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Eve Johnson Houghton · 1036 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a TFR-FALLING figure trend
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦38/36410.4%1.028/3622.2%1.41
On turf ✦64/57611.1%1.0625/17014.7%1.24
In Class 4-5 company ✦66/49713.3%1.1423/14316.1%1.17
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/875.7%0.681/185.6%0.47
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 14 runs
#9SAYID HARRY ANGEL
DRAW 10 · OR · William Buick / Richard Hughes
MARKET 14.5
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1049 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦60/39915.0%1.0826/14817.6%1.39
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runs
#10UNTOUCHABLE (IRE)
DRAW 4 · OR · David Egan / Kevin Philippart de Foy
MARKET backed 7.8 → 5
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Philippart de Foy · 653 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)17/1849.2%0.764/1625.0%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦25/2549.8%0.838/6113.1%0.82
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)1/425.0%5.731/714.3%1.67
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.