THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
POOR RELATION (FR) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.05% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.46s off the lead. The measured order tops CRIMSON RAMBLER on 74, 0pts clear of DEL CORSO. CRIMSON RAMBLER: the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is DEL CORSO — a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
CRIMSON RAMBLER
OR 67 · Liam Wright / Matt Crawley
MARKET drifting 4 → 4.6
74.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−The top rating in this field (74.0)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
DEL CORSO
OR 66 · Ashley Lewis / Ed Walker
MARKET backed 2.12 → 1.59
74.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Rated #2 in this field (74.0)Stable in form this week — 6 wins from 18 runs
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
MISS PRETTY
OR 65 · Harry Davies / Edward Smyth-Osbourne
65.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (65.0)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1DEL CORSOnet +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, yard hot
2CRIMSON RAMBLERnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band − 5lb+ above last winning mark
3POOR RELATION (FR)net +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here, yard hot − burns early and empties
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 4 runners · stalls 1–4
1234
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: CRIMSON RAMBLER is 0/1 on softer ground · DEL CORSO is 0/2 on softer ground · MISS PRETTY is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
POOR RELATION (FR)FRONT54.0%96.8the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
CRIMSON RAMBLERMID48.2%104.1the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
DEL CORSOMID48.3%104.1a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
MISS PRETTYMID49.1%103.0a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
POOR RELATION (FR)FRONTtypically ~2.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.09s off the field’s best
POOR RELATION (FR) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1CRIMSON RAMBLERMID
DRAW 4 · OR 67 · Liam Wright / Matt Crawley
MARKET drifting 4 → 4.6
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
74.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
67 · last won off 61
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
29
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.11% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Matt Crawley · 141 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf3/329.4%1.221/119.1%2.03
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company0/370.0%0.00/40.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days5/4710.6%1.170/210.0%0.0
In fields of <=70/240.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 9-10f trips (small sample)1/137.7%1.161/250.0%12.74
Above their last winning mark (small sample)2/1612.5%1.020/20.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/310.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~75.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.51 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
104.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 4
7.03 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Newmarket8fGood3rdTrue40.0 +0.1795.5+0.00
28 May 26Sandown Park8fGood9thTrue38.1 +0.05100.5+0.46
Timed runs 2026-03-09 to 2026-06-19. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
6lb above his last winning mark (67 today vs 61)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (74.0)Only 1 run at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“prominent, pushed along under 3f out, led soon after, headed final 1f, no extra”
#2DEL CORSOMID
DRAW 1 · OR 66 · Ashley Lewis / Ed Walker
MARKET backed 2.12 → 1.59
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
74.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
66 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.06% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1100 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 9-10f trips20/9122.0%1.36/3218.8%1.47
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0336/20217.8%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=744/20421.6%1.0313/7018.6%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)5/1926.3%1.523/1520.0%1.23
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~75.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
-0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
104.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 4
6.93 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Jul 26Newbury8fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.3 -0.06105.4—
6 Jun 26Lingfield9fSoft4thTrue37.9 -0.15107.3+0.06
Timed runs 2025-11-27 to 2026-07-02. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (74.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 18 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“dictated, quickened over 2f out, headed 1f out, kept on”
#3MISS PRETTYMID
DRAW 2 · OR 65 · Harry Davies / Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−
65.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
65.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 65
Official mark (OR)
65 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.2s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 103.02% (strong late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Edward Smyth-Osbourne · 129 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 11.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 9-10f trips1/425.0%1.850/60.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)6/4314.0%1.70/50.0%0.0
On turf7/4316.3%1.760/270.0%0.0
In fields of <=74/1428.6%1.870/60.0%0.0
In Class 4-5 company10/5817.2%2.051/303.3%0.43
Coming back after 15 to 45 days9/4918.4%1.831/224.5%0.52
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/10.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 69 is below the ~75.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 4
-0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
103.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 4
7.28 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Nottingham10fGood3rdTrue37.9 +0.00106.5+0.07
23 May 26Salisbury9fGood10th—38.4 -0.45100.1-0.05
13 Oct 25Kempton Park8fStd7thTrue39.3 +0.09100.8+0.20
11 Aug 25Kempton Park7fStd1stTrue38.0 +0.34104.6+0.28
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-08-11 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (65.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ollie Sangster · 708 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7820/13115.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦29/26011.2%0.89/1078.4%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)2/540.0%1.620/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 72 is below the ~75.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 34.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
+0.09s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
96.8%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 4
6.59 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
17 Jun 26Ffos Las10fSoft7thFast early34.7 -0.9690.1+0.14
9 Jun 26Salisbury9fHeavy3rdTrue37.7 +0.4393.2-0.02
20 Jan 26Southwell8fStd2ndTrue38.1 +0.77107.1+0.14
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-01-20 to 2026-06-17. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 14 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question