FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Ripon · 17:03
Class 6 · 8f · Good (Good to Firm in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-18 · 9 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 31.6%winner in the projected 1–2–3 65.4%136 races · latest settled day: #1 10/37, top-3 20/37forensic read: #1 28.6% · top-3 60.3% (63)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
SOVEREIGN BRIGHT is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.35% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.24s off the lead. The measured order tops SPARKLING PINK on 64, 0pts clear of SINGARDA. SPARKLING PINK: held up without the late gear (9th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front. The shape danger is DELEVINGNE DREAM (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 2
SPARKLING PINK
OR 60 · Jack Garritty / Adrian Nicholls
MARKET drifting 9.4 → 15
64 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−4lb below his last winning mark (60 today vs 64)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (64)Historically underestimated by the market
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 1
SINGARDA
OR 57 · Tom Eaves / Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
MARKET drifting 12 → 23
64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−Rated #2 in this field (64.0)
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 8
MOHMENTOUS
OR 59 · Jack Callan / Ollie Sangster
MARKET 4.5
62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (62.0)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1MOHMENTOUSnet +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot − 5lb+ above last winning mark
2DELEVINGNE DREAM (IRE)net +6drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, yard hot, FormLab watch flag
3VEGA'S VIRTUE (IRE)net +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), backed since morning, energy in the winning band
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
DELEVINGNE DREAM (IRE)  FIGURE #7
drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9
123456789
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 9.0 of 9, field average 5.0).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: SPARKLING PINK is 1/5 on softer ground · SINGARDA is 0/3 on softer ground · MOHMENTOUS is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
SPARKLING PINK MID 51.6% 98.2 held up without the late gear (9th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BALMORAL BOY (IRE) MID 50.2% 99.9 one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
MOHMENTOUS MID 48.2% 104.1 a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
AURELUNE (IRE) HELD-UP 48.2% 101.5 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
DELEVINGNE DREAM (IRE) MID 48.7% 104.9 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
SINGARDA HELD-UP 50.4% 98.4 held up without the late gear (8th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
VEGA'S VIRTUE (IRE) HELD-UP 49.8% 101.3 solid late gains (4th of 9 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
SOVEREIGN BRIGHT PROMINENT 50.1% 100.5 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
TRUCIAL PEARL MID 50.8% 98.7 one-paced late — 7th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
SOVEREIGN BRIGHTPROMINENTtypically ~2.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
SOVEREIGN BRIGHT is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 SPARKLING PINK MID
DRAW 2 · OR 60 · Jack Garritty / Adrian Nicholls
MARKET drifting 9.4 → 15
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
64 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
64 · ranked #1 here · career best 69
Official mark (OR)
60 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s)
Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.16% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 5910thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 73rdClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 6910thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 298thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 47
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SPARKLING PINKbest 69needs 64–652025-04-30 · TFR 24 · 4.97f · Std · C4 · off-trip2025-05-27 · TFR 60 · 5.98f · Soft · C5 · off-trip2025-06-21 · TFR 62 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-08 · TFR 64 · 6f · Good · C6 · off-trip2025-08-07 · TFR 53 · 6.08f · Gd/Sft · C52025-09-09 · TFR 39 · 5.83f · Soft · C5 · off-trip2025-09-22 · TFR 47 · 6f · Good · C5 · off-trip2026-03-05 · TFR 29 · 6f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-04-25 · TFR 69 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-21 · TFR 7 · 6.96f · Soft · C52026-06-20 · TFR 59 · 8f · Good · C630 Apr 2520 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Adrian Nicholls · 340 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company7/798.9%0.754/1921.1%1.53
Over 7-8f trips2/583.4%0.422/1711.8%1.38
Coming back after 15 to 45 days12/1448.3%0.893/2313.0%1.22
Below their last winning mark2/922.2%1.192/1414.3%1.21
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-1110/1486.8%0.772/267.7%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Ripon (small sample)1/234.3%0.420/60.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 9
+0.24 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 9
+0.26s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 9
98.2%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 9
7.21 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Redcar7fGood4thTrue39.2 -0.15101.0+0.00
21 May 26Haydock Park6fSoft10thTrue38.2 +1.10100.6-0.13
25 Apr 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm3rdTrue40.2 -0.0597.8+0.08
5 Mar 26Newcastle6fStd10thTrue40.2 -0.0995.9+0.28
22 Sep 25Leicester6fGood8thTrue42.1 +0.5794.9+0.70
9 Sep 25Carlisle5fSoft8thTrue37.3 +0.0598.8+0.65
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledfast3fledpar4fledpar5fledslow6fledslow7f+0.09slow1m+0.79slow
Timed runs 2025-09-09 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb below his last winning mark (60 today vs 64)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (64)Only 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, pushed along 2f out, headed 1f out, no extra”
#2 SINGARDA HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 1 · OR 57 · Tom Eaves / Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
MARKET drifting 12 → 23
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
64.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 66
Official mark (OR)
57 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 8 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.36% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 6 · 8.5f · rated 644thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 569thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 607thClass 5 · 11.1f · rated 375thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 60
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SINGARDAbest 66needs 64–652025-06-26 · TFR 42 · 7.06f · Slow · C52025-07-25 · TFR 66 · 7f · Good · C32025-08-16 · TFR 32 · 8f · Gd/Frm · C22025-09-17 · TFR 31 · 8.45f · Soft · C52026-04-16 · TFR 60 · 8f · Gd/Sft · C62026-04-29 · TFR 37 · 11.1f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-06-14 · TFR 60 · 7.03f · Good · C62026-06-22 · TFR 56 · 8.01f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-03 · TFR 64 · 8.45f · Gd/Frm · C626 Jun 253 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · 297 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days9/8410.7%1.24/419.8%1.33
At this time of year (Q3)10/8012.5%1.551/911.1%1.24
Over 7-8f trips11/10210.8%1.053/417.3%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf17/15011.3%1.342/583.4%0.44
In Class 6-7 company10/9210.9%0.953/506.0%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Ripon (small sample)6/2920.7%2.10/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 66 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 9
+0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 9
+0.70s
Slow away in 5 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed8th of 9
98.4%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 9
7.24 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Beverley8fGd/Frm5th39.5 -0.22+0.39
22 Jun 26Musselburgh8fGd/Frm4thSlow early39.5 +0.8198.7+1.66
14 Jun 26Doncaster7fGood9thTrue40.7 +0.40101.2+0.38
29 Apr 26Southwell11fStd7thSlow early37.6 -1.01104.5+0.00
16 Apr 26Ripon8fGd/Sft5thTrue37.7 +0.00101.8+0.41
17 Sep 25Beverley8fSoft6thFast early39.2 +0.2085.7+0.64
Timed runs 2025-09-17 to 2026-07-03. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (64.0)Lost roughly 1.8 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“waited with, headway over 1f out, never dangerous”
#3 MOHMENTOUS MID
DRAW 8 · OR 59 · Jack Callan / Ollie Sangster
MARKET 4.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
62.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
59 · last won off 54
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 5 tries · beats market expectation (1.52)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.07% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 622ndClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 601stClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 641stClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 607thClass 6 · 8.1f · rated 44
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for MOHMENTOUSneeds 64–65best 642025-12-01 · TFR 47 · 6f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-01-21 · TFR 40 · 7f · Slow · C42026-02-18 · TFR 30 · 6f · Slow · C4 · off-trip2026-04-09 · TFR 44 · 8.06f · Std · C62026-04-29 · TFR 60 · 8f · Firm · C62026-05-07 · TFR 64 · 8f · Good · C62026-05-26 · TFR 60 · 8f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-02 · TFR 62 · 10.23f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip1 Dec 252 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ollie Sangster · 708 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark9/4719.1%0.9216/6325.4%1.35
Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7820/13115.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf29/26011.2%0.89/1078.4%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Ripon (small sample)0/20.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 65 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 9
-0.23 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 9
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 9
104.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length8th of 9
7.11 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Jul 26Nottingham10fGd/Frm3rdTrue38.1 +0.00104.6-0.05
26 May 26Bath8fGd/Frm2ndTrue39.5 +0.35103.4+0.06
7 May 26Redcar7fGood1stTrue39.9 +0.1398.2+0.19
29 Apr 26Bath8fFirm1stTrue39.1 +0.10106.6-0.04
9 Apr 26Southwell8fStd7thTrue38.1 -0.57105.1+0.14
18 Feb 26Kempton Park6fSlow4thTrue38.7 -1.36106.4+0.34
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.44par2f+0.37slow3f+0.36par4f+0.36par5f+0.34fast6f+0.28par7f+0.30slow1m+0.20par1m 1fledpar1m 2f+0.51par
Timed runs 2026-02-18 to 2026-07-02. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (59 today vs 54)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (62.0)Only 5 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 14 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 2.0 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“handy, led around 2f out, headed final 1f, hampered entering final ½f, one paced”
#4 AURELUNE (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR 58 · Shane Gray / Richard & Peter Fahey
MARKET 6
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
62.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 62
Official mark (OR)
58 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: 4.0s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 101.48% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 8.2f · rated 627thClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 256thClass 4 · 8.5f · rated 473rdClass 4 · 8.6f · rated 575thClass 4 · 7.1f · rated 55
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for AURELUNE (IRE)needs 64–65best 622026-01-31 · TFR 55 · 7.06f · Slow · C42026-03-23 · TFR 57 · 8.65f · Std · C42026-04-15 · TFR 47 · 8.45f · Gd/Sft · C42026-05-19 · TFR 25 · 10.23f · Gd/Sft · C6 · off-trip2026-07-04 · TFR 62 · 8.24f · Gd/Frm · C631 Jan 264 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard & Peter Fahey · 377 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1123/17713.0%1.26
At this time of year (Q3)6/5910.2%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Ripon2/336.1%0.56
Coming back after 8 to 14 days4/626.5%0.74
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 65 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 9
+0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 9
+0.30s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 9
101.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 9
7.31 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jul 26Leicester8fGd/Frm3rd39.5 +0.3496.6+0.34
19 May 26Nottingham10fGd/Sft7thTrue37.1 -0.2895.1+0.05
15 Apr 26Beverley8fGd/Sft6thSlow early37.8 -0.0899.2+0.27
23 Mar 26Wolverhampton8fStd3rdSlow early39.3 +0.04109.8+0.19
31 Jan 26Newcastle7fSlow5thSlow early40.1 +0.00106.6+0.63
Timed runs 2026-01-31 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Improving fast — last run rated 62, 17pts above his recent average of 44.7Only 4 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 4 wins from 21 runsHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, pushed along over 3f out, stayed on”
#5 BALMORAL BOY (IRE) MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 5 · OR 59 · Alex Jary / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET 32
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
58.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
58.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 60
Official mark (OR)
59 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
33
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.9% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
11thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 588thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 545thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 606thClass 5 · 7.1f · rated 543rdClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 33
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BALMORAL BOY (IRE)needs 64–65best 602026-03-21 · TFR 33 · 8.02f · Std · C42026-04-13 · TFR 54 · 7.06f · Std · C52026-04-24 · TFR 60 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C42026-05-16 · TFR 54 · 7.97f · Gd/Sft · C62026-06-15 · TFR 58 · 8f · Gd/Frm · C621 Mar 2615 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 915 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company32/27911.5%1.179/969.4%1.27
On turf39/5057.7%0.9112/1517.9%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-1128/3677.6%0.885/1015.0%0.62
Too few runners to read reliably
At Ripon (small sample)2/287.1%0.860/110.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 60 is below the ~64.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 9
-0.22 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 9
+0.29s
Slow away in 3 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed6th of 9
99.9%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 9
7.46 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jun 26Wetherby8fGd/Frm11thFast early39.0 -0.7497.6+0.36
16 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Sft8thTrue38.0 +0.0099.8+0.35
24 Apr 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm5thSlow early40.0 -0.52105.4+0.00
13 Apr 26Newcastle7fStd6thTrue40.2 -0.03101.2+0.26
21 Mar 26Newcastle8fStd3rdTrue38.5 +0.2195.4+0.50
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.44fast2f+0.53fast3f+0.63fast4f+0.70fast5f+0.69slow6f+0.69slow7f+0.81very slow1m+1.04very slow
Timed runs 2026-03-21 to 2026-06-15. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 5 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.52x market expectation)Lost roughly 1.6 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, wide home turn, effort 3f out, faded”
#6 VEGA'S VIRTUE (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 6 · OR 56 · David Allan / Tim Easterby
MARKET backed 12 → 7.4
56.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
56.7 · ranked #6 here · career best 60
Official mark (OR)
56 · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · beats market expectation (2.44)
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.2s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 101.26% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 553rdClass 6 · 8.2f · rated 551stClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 605thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 557thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 51
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for VEGA'S VIRTUE (IRE)needs 64–65best 602025-08-14 · TFR 54 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C5 · off-trip2025-08-25 · TFR 50 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C4 · off-trip2025-09-09 · TFR 41 · 5.83f · Soft · C5 · off-trip2026-05-02 · TFR 51 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-17 · TFR 55 · 6f · Good · C6 · off-trip2026-05-28 · TFR 60 · 8f · Good · C62026-06-13 · TFR 55 · 8.24f · Good · C62026-07-03 · TFR 55 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C514 Aug 253 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tim Easterby · 2889 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 63 is below the ~64.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 9
-0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 9
+0.34s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 9
101.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 9
7.38 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm8th40.7 -0.17107.8+0.24
13 Jun 26Leicester8fGood3rdTrue37.3 +0.18101.4+0.21
28 May 26Ripon8fGood1stTrue38.5 -0.43100.5
17 May 26Ripon6fGood5thTrue41.9 -0.2496.2
2 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm7thTrue39.9 +0.43104.5
9 Sep 25Carlisle5fSoft8thTrue38.1 -0.2697.1+0.56
Timed runs 2025-09-09 to 2026-07-03. · 3 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 3 here)
LTO comment
“mid-field, brief effort over 2f out, carried head bit awkwardly, weakened approaching final 1f”
#7 DELEVINGNE DREAM (IRE) MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 3 · OR 58 · Kaiya Fraser / Harry Eustace
MARKET drifting 13.5 → 30
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
54.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 54
Official mark (OR)
58 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
30
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races held-up (one-paced)
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.88% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 5411thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 4311thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 12
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DELEVINGNE DREAM (IRE)needs 64–65best 542025-12-03 · TFR 12 · 7f · Std · C52026-01-14 · TFR 43 · 8f · Slow · C42026-06-18 · TFR 54 · 8.01f · Gd/Frm · C43 Dec 2518 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Harry Eustace · 530 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1119/2079.2%0.7611/5022.0%2.0
At this time of year (Q3)10/1456.9%0.63/1421.4%1.53
On turf31/28510.9%0.8413/7617.1%1.37
Over 7-8f trips14/1768.0%0.6411/6018.3%1.33
Coming back after 15 to 45 days18/2038.9%0.6411/5719.3%1.28
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 6-7 company (small sample)7/6710.4%0.590/80.0%0.0
At Ripon (small sample)0/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 54 is below the ~64.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 9
-0.68 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 9
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 9
104.9%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length6th of 9
7.20 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Yarmouth8fGd/Frm7thTrue38.7 -0.13103.7+0.62
14 Jan 26Kempton Park8fSlow11thTrue39.0 -0.59107.2+0.02
3 Dec 25Kempton Park7fStd11thTrue38.5 -1.31103.7+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.78very slow2f+0.81slow3f+0.86slow4f+0.91par5f+0.81par6f+0.79par7f+0.92fast1m+1.13fast
Timed runs 2025-12-03 to 2026-06-18. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceLost roughly 2.8 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“off pace, brief effort wide 2f out, not sustain effort”
#8 TRUCIAL PEARL MID
DRAW 4 · OR 49 · Billy Garritty / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET 3.65
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
52 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
52 · ranked #8 here · career best 58
Official mark (OR)
49 · last won off 47
Record at today's distance
1 win from 6 tries · below market expectation (0.74)
Days since last run
2
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.69% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 491stClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 583rdClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 495thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 476thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 42
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for TRUCIAL PEARLneeds 64–65best 582025-07-13 · TFR 21 · 6.07f · Std · C42025-07-29 · TFR 42 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C5 · off-trip2025-08-13 · TFR 46 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C5 · off-trip2025-09-04 · TFR 35 · 6.07f · Std · C62026-01-17 · TFR 47 · 6.07f · Std · C62026-02-27 · TFR 43 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-03-12 · TFR 52 · 7f · Std · C62026-03-19 · TFR 47 · 7.06f · Std · C62026-04-07 · TFR 42 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C6 · off-trip2026-05-02 · TFR 47 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-21 · TFR 49 · 7.03f · Good · C62026-06-18 · TFR 58 · 8f · Good · C62026-07-16 · TFR 49 · 7.99f · Gd/Frm · C613 Jul 2516 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael & David Easterby · 1227 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)32/3638.8%0.92/355.7%0.66
Too few runners to read reliably
At Ripon (small sample)4/4010.0%0.944/1625.0%2.77
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)7/3917.9%1.270/100.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 58 is below the ~64.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 9
+0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 9
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 9
98.7%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 9
6.92 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jul 26Thirsk7fGd/Frm4thTrue40.8 +0.9399.7+0.00
18 Jun 26Ripon8fGood1stTrue40.2 -0.1398.4
21 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGood3rd41.3 +0.2396.5+0.06
2 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm5thTrue39.5 +0.07105.0+0.00
7 Apr 26Pontefract6fGd/Sft6thTrue37.8 -0.4596.7+0.40
19 Mar 26Newcastle7fStd3rdFast early40.4 +0.1295.8+0.29
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.22fast2f+0.37fast3f+0.35par4f+0.31fast5f+0.11par6f+0.02very slow7f+0.02slow1m+0.28very slow
Timed runs 2026-03-19 to 2026-07-16. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 12 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 2 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 1 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, pushed along 2f out, led briefly over 1f out, edged left, no extra final 100 yds”
#9 SOVEREIGN BRIGHT PROMINENT
DRAW 9 · OR 56 · Connor Beasley / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 18 → 25
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
50.5 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
50.5 · ranked #9 here · career best 68
Official mark (OR)
56 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 7 tries
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.0s
Usually races prominent and weakens · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 100.5% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 6 · 8.2f · rated 466thClass 6 · 10.0f · rated 5512thClass 5 · 8.9f · rated 53rdClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 643rdClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 48
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SOVEREIGN BRIGHTbest 68needs 64–652025-06-05 · TFR 53 · 6f · Std · C5 · off-trip2025-06-28 · TFR 68 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C22025-07-13 · TFR 60 · 6.07f · Std · C42025-07-31 · TFR 66 · 7f · Gd/Sft · C22025-08-26 · TFR 51 · 7f · Std · C42025-10-15 · TFR 60 · 7f · Std · C22026-03-20 · TFR 48 · 8f · Std · C52026-04-13 · TFR 64 · 10.19f · Std · C6 · off-trip2026-04-26 · TFR 5 · 8.95f · Good · C52026-06-04 · TFR 55 · 10f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip2026-07-04 · TFR 46 · 8.24f · Gd/Frm · C65 Jun 254 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2312 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company22/22010.0%0.767/7010.0%0.73
Too few runners to read reliably
At Ripon (small sample)4/527.7%0.642/1118.2%0.97
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 69 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 9
+0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 9
-0.09s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 6
Finish · closing speed5th of 9
100.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 9
7.19 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jul 26Leicester8fGd/Frm8th38.9 -0.2796.6-0.09
4 Jun 26Wetherby10fGd/Frm6thTrue39.4 -0.29103.6-0.17
26 Apr 26Musselburgh8fGood12thTrue38.1 +0.15102.4+0.00
13 Apr 26Newcastle10fStd3rdFast early38.2 +0.5998.1+0.04
20 Mar 26Lingfield8fStd3rdTrue39.9 +0.3899.6-0.05
15 Oct 25Kempton Park7fStd5thTrue38.4 +0.00102.8-0.26
Timed runs 2025-10-15 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 25 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, went clear after 2f, tiring when headed 1f out”